Election Confection!

[nirorivers6]

I agree that if Clinton gets the nomination, McCain will win. However, its become a really tight race between Obama and Clinton. Most states are up in the air. Most polls show that it's almost split, and that a substantial amount are undecided. States where Clinton had the lead, Obama is closing in. It's really anyone's game, and way to close to make any calls on who will win the democatic nomination.

This seems to be a race that will not be decided after Super Tuesday is over. This could be a close race til the very end. Its very exciting, and good to know that this race won't be deicided before everyone has had a chance to vote.

Obama just got Arnold's wife's support. And she's a Kennedy. There recently was a rally in California with her, Obama's wife, and Oprah. Getting these three ladies, to show that just because you're a woman, doesn't mean you have to vote for Clinton.

In terms of good VPs, getting an influential leader from a swing state would be a wise choice. A good one would be Ex-Governor Mark Warner of Virginia.

[worsethansex]

Most states are up in the air. Most polls show that it's almost split

I'm not too sure about that... Here are the most populous Super Tuesday states, with current polling averages:

California Clinton + 1.0
New York Clinton + 20.3
Illinois Obama + 32.0
Missouri Clinton + 3.6
New Jersey Clinton + 8.0
Massachusetts Clinton + 17.5
Arizona Clinton + 6.0
Georgia Obama + 14.0
Tennessee Clinton + 13.0
Alabama Clinton + 1.5
Connecticut Clinton + 3.4

So it's close in California, Missouri, Arizona, Alabama, and Connecticut, all of which Clinton's currently leading. Clinton has a comfy lead in New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts, and Tennessee; Obama's has one only in Illinois and Georgia- and leads only in two polls overall. Much as I like the guy, I just don't see these as favorable odds.

[Chewie]

Much as I like the guy, I just don't see these as favorable odds.

What Obama does have going for him, though, is momentum. He has made great gains in the past couple of months, starting with Iowa and polling closer and closer to Hillary in Super Tuesday states. Just a few weeks ago, the three most recent polls in Missouri (my home) didn't have Obama within 10 points of Hillary, if I am remembering correctly. Regardless, Hillary is losing ground and can't have Tuesday come quickly enough.

My prediction for Super Tuesday: McCain will be anointed, for all practical puposes, the GOP's candidate. He's leading now and I don't see any reasonable contention to think Romney or Huckabee will catch up. Paul's long gone, should be proud to have done this well, etc.

However, I think Clinton and Obama will still be up in the air. I think Obama will do even slightly better than he is polling now, as momentum continues to build for him. Since the Dems split their delegates in each states (as opposed to the GOP who do all-or-nothing for most (maybe all, I'm not sure) states), the Dem nom will still not be decided after Super Tuesday. If momentum continues, Obama would get it eventually, but it's hard to predict how the nation will react after Tuesday.

AND WE CAN'T FORGET MIKE GRAVEL OH WAIT YES WE CAN.

[nirorivers6]

Most states are up in the air. Most polls show that it's almost split

I'm not too sure about that... Here are the most populous Super Tuesday states, with current polling averages:

California Clinton + 1.0
New York Clinton + 20.3
Illinois Obama + 32.0
Missouri Clinton + 3.6
New Jersey Clinton + 8.0
Massachusetts Clinton + 17.5
Arizona Clinton + 6.0
Georgia Obama + 14.0
Tennessee Clinton + 13.0
Alabama Clinton + 1.5
Connecticut Clinton + 3.4

So it's close in California, Missouri, Arizona, Alabama, and Connecticut, all of which Clinton's currently leading. Clinton has a comfy lead in New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts, and Tennessee; Obama's has one only in Illinois and Georgia- and leads only in two polls overall. Much as I like the guy, I just don't see these as favorable odds.

"In a January 14-17 CNN/Opinion Research poll, Clinton led Obama 42 percent to 33 percent. That poll also had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.

A national "poll of polls" calculated by CNN that averages five national polls finds Clinton ahead of Obama by two percentage points -- 45 percent to 43 percent. Those five surveys were done by CNN/Opinion Research, Gallup, Pew, ABC and CBS."

"Obama has not only caught up to Clinton in national surveys but also in California, the most populous state.

A Field Research Corp. poll released Sunday shows Clinton with a statistically insignificant lead of two percentage points over Obama, 36 percent to 34 percent, in the state. Eighteen percent of California Democrats have yet to make up their minds, the survey found."


It really is anyone's game.

[Chewie]

It really is anyone's game.

Mike. Gravel.

[nirorivers6]

It really is anyone's game.

Mike. Gravel.

ok, when I said anybody, I meant anyone who mattered.
:twisted: (Dissss) :twisted:

[Humor's Hand]

The better question is, when Hillary Clinton becomes elected Glorious Leader, to which country will the majority of the population move? I call dibbs on New Zealand.

[nirorivers6]

since she getting all the Latino vote, all the Mexicans can move up north and have the US. We'll take Canada, and Canadians can go live with the polar bears.

[Chewie]

Super Tuesday.

SUPER TUESDAY!

SUPER F*CKING TUESDAY!

I'm watching CNN. On TV! I never watch TV! This is more interesting than the Super Bowl to me.

Results can be found here! http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/pri....html#20080205

CNN projects Obama to be taking Georgia, even though only 1% of the vote is in, with Obama leading 64% to 31% over Clinton, and McCain is leading with a slight lead over Huckabee in GA. Also, Huckabee won the West Virginia caucus earlier in the day.

All other states, as far as I know, are still voting as of 7:37 EST.

[Chewie]

I'm watching CNN. On TV! I never watch TV! This is more interesting than the Super Bowl to me.

Jesus Christ I hate network news. Shut up Lou Dobbs.